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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 2am UK
The Home Depot Center
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LA Galaxy
1 - 2
Seattle

Kljestan (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez Andrade (41'), Ruidiaz (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSeattle Sounders
34.41%24.45%41.13%
Both teams to score 59.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58%43.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19%65.81%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.19%
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81%21.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93%54.07%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 34.41%
    Seattle Sounders 41.13%
    Draw 24.45%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 7.95%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.13%

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