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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Saputo Stadium
NY

Montreal
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York Red Bulls
38.33%26.12%35.55%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15%60.85%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53%27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04%62.95%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 38.33%
    New York Red Bulls 35.55%
    Draw 26.11%
CF MontrealDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.55%

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