Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
