SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 44.94% | 25.73% | 29.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% | 72.78% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% | 22.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.79% | 56.21% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.33% |
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