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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Aug 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
AU

Montreal
2 - 2
Atlanta

Toye (53'), Camacho (63')
Struna (19'), Mihailovic (86')
Camacho (73'), Wanyama (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (65'), Moreno (76' pen.)
Campbell (27'), Damm (90'), Moreno (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
46.24%24.85%28.92%
Both teams to score 55.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43%69.58%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96%53.05%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88%30.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73%66.27%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 46.24%
    Atlanta United 28.92%
    Draw 24.85%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.92%

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