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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
NY

DC United
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Kamara (27')
Alfaro (12'), Brillant (87'), Hamid (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (47'), Klimala (69'), Edwards (80'), Casseres Jr (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
47.48%24.5%28.02%
Both teams to score 56.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32%68.68%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38%19.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42%51.58%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72%30.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54%66.46%
Score Analysis
    DC United 47.48%
    New York Red Bulls 28.02%
    Draw 24.5%
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.02%

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