NY City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Parks (16'), Tinnerholm (53'), Ring (75')
Sands (37'), Callens (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pineda (45+2')
Frankowski (42'), Calvo (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
46.93%	24.5%	28.57%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93%

46.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63%

68.37%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26%

51.74%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28%

29.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22%

65.78%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 46.93%

Chicago Fire 28.57%

Draw 24.5%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.57%