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Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2020 at 3.30am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
PT

NY City
1 - 3
Portland

Medina (27' pen.)
Ring (44'), Medina (45+1'), Moralez (85'), Callens (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blanco (43'), Valeri (65'), Joya (76')
Williamson (37'), Mabiala (79')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Portland Timbers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
47.19%24.37%28.44%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44%45.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11%67.89%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59%19.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77%51.24%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46%29.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43%65.57%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 47.19%
    Portland Timbers 28.44%
    Draw 24.37%
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.99%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.26%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.44%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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