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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Oct 11, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NE

NY City
1 - 2
New England

Callens (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bunbury (3'), Nguyen (80' pen.)
Nguyen (45'), Caldwell (58'), Rowe (76'), Jones (83')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
53.94%22.32%23.74%
Both teams to score 59.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42%62.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71%43.29%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67%30.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48%66.52%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 53.94%
    New England Revolution 23.74%
    Draw 22.31%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.94%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 6.13%
0-1 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 23.74%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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