Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.