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Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2020 at 1am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
SK

Philadelphia
3 - 1
Kansas

Monteiro (24'), Santos (26', 39')
Andres Martinez (25'), Elliott (53')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pulido (45+1')
Fernandes (71')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Sporting Kansas City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawSporting Kansas City
43.49%25.05%31.46%
Both teams to score 56.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.29%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24%54.76%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78%28.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.93%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 43.49%
    Sporting Kansas City 31.46%
    Draw 25.05%
Philadelphia UnionDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.49%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.46%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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