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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
LA

Portland
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arango (27' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
29.95%23.28%46.77%
Both teams to score 61.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36%39.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01%61.99%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47%25.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61%60.39%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42%47.58%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 29.95%
    Los Angeles FC 46.77%
    Draw 23.27%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.21%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.95%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-1 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 5.44%
0-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 46.77%

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