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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 16, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
LA

Austin
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Fagundez (67')
Stroud (35'), Cascante (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arango (59' pen.), Musovski (81')
Crisostomo (29'), Musovski (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles FC
28.11%22.48%49.4%
Both teams to score 63.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63%37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81%59.18%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61%25.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8%60.19%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.03%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 28.12%
    Los Angeles FC 49.4%
    Draw 22.48%
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 6.85%
1-0 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-1 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 4.03%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 49.4%

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