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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 22, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
PT

Austin
3 - 1
Portland

Dominguez (11' pen.), Fagundez (14'), Driussi (29')
Pochettino (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Asprilla (55')
Zuparic (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
40.29%23.8%35.91%
Both teams to score 62.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97%40.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6%62.39%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59%52.41%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 40.29%
    Portland Timbers 35.91%
    Draw 23.8%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 40.29%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-1 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.91%

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