Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.