Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
