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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
SK

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Kansas

Kreilach (35'), Yovani Mendez Rubin (52', 77')
Ruiz (32'), Chang (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pulido (17')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSporting Kansas City
33.55%25.55%40.9%
Both teams to score 55.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43%48.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.69%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.18%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46%23.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41%57.59%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 33.55%
    Sporting Kansas City 40.9%
    Draw 25.54%
Real Salt LakeDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.22%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.9%

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