We think that the momentum will be with Saint Louis City coming into this clash after their historic win against Austin, and that they will use it to their advantage here.
Charlotte were slow out of the blocks last season, losing their first three games, so we think that Saint Louis City will claim all three points.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 88.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 3.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 0-4 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.78%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 2-1 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saint Louis City would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.14) 
