Off the back of a dismal run of results for both teams, we expected a keenly-contested affair with the sides going for all three points. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
36.62% ( 1.55)	24.74% ( 0.41)	38.63% ( -1.96)

Both teams to score 58.66% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-1.77)

44.49% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-1.74)

66.86% (

1.74)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06% (

0.03)

23.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84% (

0.05)

58.16% (

-0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-1.74)

22.88% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

-2.63)

56.63% (

2.63)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 36.62%

New York City FC 38.63%

Draw 24.74%

Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.62%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.63%