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CF
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
CF

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Charlotte FC

Pineda (3'), Duran (30')
Duran (39'), Bezerra (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Swiderski (68', 90+6'), Santos (76')
Bronico (39'), Swiderski (53'), Jones (54'), Gaines (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Charlotte FC

The fact that these two teams are joint on points in the league table showcases that there is not going to be much to separate them at the weekend. Charlotte has some momentum behind them though, and that could lead to them having the confidence to secure all three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawCharlotte FC
57.76% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.95% (0.044 0.04) 19.29% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.47% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.41% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.6% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)16.51% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.119 -0.12)46.25% (0.125 0.13)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.023 0.02)75.95% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 57.74%
    Charlotte FC 19.29%
    Draw 22.94%
Chicago FireDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 57.74%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Montreal
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 NY City
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-2 Toronto
Sunday, August 28 at 1.10am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Orlando City
Monday, August 22 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Charlotte FC
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, August 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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