Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.