Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
