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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 26
Aug 22, 2021 at 1am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
CF

Orlando City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Michel (51')
Mueller (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Teran Diaz (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
58.89%21.65%19.46%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4%42.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35%65%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86%14.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21%41.79%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34%35.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56%72.43%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 58.9%
    Chicago Fire 19.46%
    Draw 21.64%
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.65%
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-1 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.46%

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