Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
