Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.