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VW
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 18, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
SK

Vancouver
2 - 1
Kansas

Gauld (23'), Teibert (36')
White (51'), Nerwinski (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Russell (43')
Sanchez (45+1'), Kinda (70'), Walter (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSporting Kansas City
38.46%25.59%35.95%
Both teams to score 55.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6%48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47%70.53%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.28%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82%61.18%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 38.46%
    Sporting Kansas City 35.95%
    Draw 25.58%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.46%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.95%

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