Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.