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National League North | Gameweek 8
Nov 14, 2020 at 3pm UK
North Street

Alfreton
3 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Jones (16'), Reeves (23'), Day (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Clayton (18')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Farsley Celtic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
37.34%25.93%36.72%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12%49.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13%71.87%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98%26.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95%61.05%
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62%26.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47%61.52%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 37.34%
    Farsley Celtic 36.72%
    Draw 25.93%
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 36.72%


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