Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.