Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
