Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Banbury United in this match.