Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
