SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
26.33% ( -0.79) | 22.87% ( 0.18) | 50.8% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( -1.51) | 40.27% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.36% ( -1.58) | 62.64% ( 1.58) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -1.36) | 28.34% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( -1.75) | 64.07% ( 1.76) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.33) | 16.01% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( -0.62) | 45.34% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.56% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.8% |
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