Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
