Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | Alfreton Town |
50.93% | 23.57% | 25.5% |
Both teams to score 56.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% | 44.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% | 66.56% |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.16% | 47.84% |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% | 31.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% | 67.36% |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | Alfreton Town |
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.93% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.5% |
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