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National League North | Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Merseyrail Community Stadium
AT

Southport
1 - 1
Alfreton

Archer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (31')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
50.93%23.57%25.5%
Both teams to score 56.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82%44.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44%66.56%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59%17.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16%47.84%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95%31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64%67.36%
Score Analysis
    Southport 50.93%
    Alfreton Town 25.5%
    Draw 23.57%
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 50.93%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.5%

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