Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
