Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
