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National League North | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Deva Stadium
AT

Chester
3 - 0
Alfreton

Elliott (20' pen.), Morgan (62'), Dudley (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
55.52%23.02%21.46%
Both teams to score 53.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74%68.26%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6%16.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96%46.04%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44%35.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67%72.33%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 55.52%
    Alfreton Town 21.46%
    Draw 23.02%
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.53%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.97%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.46%


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