Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.