Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
