Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.