Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.