Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.