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National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Gloucester City
2 - 0
Spennymoor

Hulbert (39'), McClure (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Spennymoor Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawSpennymoor Town
41.99%25.31%32.7%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24%47.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05%69.95%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35%22.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71%56.29%
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22%27.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64%63.36%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 41.99%
    Spennymoor Town 32.7%
    Draw 25.3%
Gloucester CityDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.7%

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