Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.