Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.