Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.