Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
