Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.