Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
62.7% ( -0.08) | 22.52% ( 0.07) | 14.78% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.27% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( -0.26) | 53.75% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( -0.22) | 75.23% ( 0.21) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( -0.12) | 16.66% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.47% ( -0.21) | 46.52% ( 0.2) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.92% ( -0.15) | 48.07% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.71% ( -0.11) | 83.28% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.69% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.78% |
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