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National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
4 - 0
Gloucester City

Armson (5'), Rooney (28'), Matwasa (31'), Amantchi (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
62.7% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08) 22.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 14.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.255 -0.26)53.75% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.215 -0.22)75.23% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)16.66% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (-0.206 -0.21)46.52% (0.201 0.2)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.92% (-0.149 -0.15)48.07% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (-0.109 -0.11)83.28% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 62.69%
    Gloucester City 14.78%
    Draw 22.52%
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.69%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-1 Brackley Town
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Banbury
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Leamington
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-6 Darlington
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League North


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