Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
51.88% ( 0.57) | 25.78% ( -0.11) | 22.34% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.04% | 55.96% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% ( -0) | 77.06% ( 0) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% ( 0.25) | 21.63% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.26% ( 0.37) | 54.74% ( -0.37) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.64% ( -0.45) | 40.35% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.02% ( -0.41) | 76.98% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Brackley Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.88% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.34% |
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