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National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Spennymoor

Rooney (57'), Stead (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allan (17')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawSpennymoor Town
51.88% (0.568 0.57) 25.78% (-0.111 -0.11) 22.34% (-0.455 -0.46)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.245 0.25)21.63% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.37 0.37)54.74% (-0.368 -0.37)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.448 -0.45)40.35% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.411 -0.41)76.98% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 51.88%
    Spennymoor Town 22.34%
    Draw 25.77%
Brackley TownDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 22.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Kettering
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-3 Chester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North


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