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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium

Gloucester City
2 - 0
Hereford

McHale (10'), Dada (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawHereford United
35.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.25%39.16% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)46.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)69.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.79%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 35.59%
    Hereford United 39.16%
    Draw 25.25%
Gloucester CityDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.59%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Leamington
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-6 Darlington
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Hereford
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Kidderminster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North


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