SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Hereford United |
35.59% ( 0.01) | 25.25% | 39.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.01) | 46.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 0.01) | 69.14% ( -0) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.01) | 25.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( 0.01) | 60.51% ( -0.01) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( 0) | 23.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( 0) | 57.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.16% |
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