SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Darlington |
28.19% ( -0.13) | 25% ( -0.05) | 46.81% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( 0.15) | 48.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( 0.14) | 70.6% ( -0.14) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.02) | 31.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% ( -0.02) | 67.58% ( 0.02) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.14) | 20.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( 0.22) | 53.37% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.81% |
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