Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
