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National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Deva Stadium

Chester
2 - 1
Leamington

Lacey (32'), Horsfield (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morley (43')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Leamington FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawLeamington FC
45.5%25.85%28.65%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3%51.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52%73.47%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68%56.32%
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.1%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 45.5%
    Leamington FC 28.65%
    Draw 25.84%
Chester FCDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.65%

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